TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Makk and Yannik Kelm in the ITF Men Szentendre, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Yannik Kelm. This market will resolve to 'Yannik Kelm' if Yannik Kelm advances against Peter Makk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For the Makk versus Kelm match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd on each venue disagrees on player likelihood. Larger gaps may signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to consensus.
On Polymarket, ITF Szentendre: Peter Makk vs Yannik Kelm is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability that each player wins the match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate demand from traders; as new information surfaces—such as player injuries, recent form, or court conditions—the price adjusts in real time. Traders buy and sell shares at the displayed price, and the contract settles based on the official match result. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures continuous pricing even during low-volume periods.
The ITF Szentendre: Peter Makk vs Yannik Kelm market resolves on Jun 14, 2026, after the match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through standard sports data sources. Once the match is complete and the winner is verified, the prediction market contract settles automatically, paying out holders of the winning outcome at full value and expiring worthless for the losing side. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or forfeited under ITF rules.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Makk versus Kelm before Jun 14, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news for either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific form updates often move sentiment significantly. Court conditions at Szentendre, weather forecasts, and player fatigue from prior rounds can influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may also cause rapid price swings. Monitor official ITF communications and player social media for last-minute changes that could affect match likelihood.