TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Makk and Tymur Bieldiugin in the ITF Men Szentendre, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Tymur Bieldiugin. This market will resolve to 'Tymur Bieldiugin' if Tymur Bieldiugin advances against Peter Makk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed oddsmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and liability, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the Makk vs Bieldiugin match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident in a particular outcome than professional oddsmakers. These gaps frequently signal value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Makk vs Bieldiugin match is priced through binary outcome contracts where each player's implied win probability is derived from order-book depth and recent trades. Prices update continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting evolving expectations about player form, recent results, and head-to-head history. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, though prices can shift rapidly in response to news or late-stage trading activity.
Key catalysts for price movement include recent tournament performance by both players, injury announcements or fitness updates, head-to-head record releases, court surface conditions at Szentendre, and draw-related information. Makk's recent form in qualifying rounds, Bieldiugin's consistency on clay, and any late-breaking news about player availability will influence trader positioning. As match day approaches, weather forecasts and final warm-up results typically drive the most significant repricing.