TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Angelini and Giannicola Misasi in the ITF Men Szentendre, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Lorenzo Angelini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate real-time beliefs from many independent participants. For the Angelini vs Misasi match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the match differently than professional oddsmakers. Such differences may reflect unique information or risk appetite among prediction market participants versus traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Angelini vs Misasi match is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of capital allocated to each player. Prices adjust dynamically as new trades execute, with higher volume typically supporting tighter bid-ask spreads. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 12, 2026, when the market resolves based on the official match result. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures continuous price discovery driven by participant conviction.
The ITF Szentendre: Lorenzo Angelini vs Giannicola market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through the event's designated data source. The market will settle once the match concludes and the winner is officially confirmed. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential postponements or changes to ensure they understand the exact timing. After resolution, winning positions are automatically credited and losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds for the Angelini vs Misasi match before Jun 12, 2026. Recent performance updates, injury reports, or withdrawal announcements involving either player would trigger immediate repricing. Changes in player rankings, head-to-head records, or surface-specific form could influence trader positioning. Court conditions, weather forecasts, or scheduling changes at the ITF Szentendre event may also move prices. Large trades by informed participants or shifts in overall market sentiment toward either player can drive volatility. Traders should monitor tennis news outlets and official ITF communications for developments affecting match probability.