TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 9:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Drazen Petrovic and Corentin Denolly in the ITF Men Skopje, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Corentin Denolly. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Drazen Petrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Drazen Petrovic and Corentin Denolly in the ITF Men Skopje, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Corentin Denolly. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Drazen Petrovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers or the broader prediction market crowd has priced in recent developments more aggressively.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate of all trades placed so far. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, so markets with deeper order books typically show smoother price action than thinly traded ones.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which player wins the ITF Skopje event. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the final result. Resolution timing may shift slightly if the event is postponed or rescheduled.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, current ranking shifts, injury reports, and performance trends on hard courts. Training updates, coaching changes, or public statements from either player can shift trader sentiment quickly. Weather conditions on match day and draw positioning within the tournament bracket may also influence expectations. News coverage and expert commentary closer to Jul 8, 2026 often trigger repricing as new information becomes available to the trading community.