TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Riko Kikawada in the ITF Women Sapporo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Riko Kikawada. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Riko Kikawada in the ITF Women Sapporo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Riko Kikawada. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market consensus differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative belief of all participants trading shares in the outcome, with each transaction moving the probability up or down. As more traders buy or sell positions ahead of the match, the market continuously reprices to equilibrate supply and demand, ensuring that the odds remain responsive to new information and shifting sentiment.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the official result of the ITF Sapporo event between the two players. Once the match concludes and the winner is publicly documented, the market will settle accordingly, paying out traders who correctly predicted the outcome and closing positions for those on the losing side.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions at the venue can all trigger repricing. Weather forecasts, withdrawal news, or changes in player ranking or form leading up to the event may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any official updates from the ITF or the tournament organizers regarding scheduling or player status could prompt significant market movement as participants reassess their positions.