TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tori Kinard and Yuzuha Negishi in the ITF Women Sapporo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tori Kinard' if Tori Kinard advances against Yuzuha Negishi. This market will resolve to 'Yuzuha Negishi' if Yuzuha Negishi advances against Tori Kinard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tori Kinard and Yuzuha Negishi in the ITF Women Sapporo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tori Kinard' if Tori Kinard advances against Yuzuha Negishi. This market will resolve to 'Yuzuha Negishi' if Yuzuha Negishi advances against Tori Kinard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or closer to the match date. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, participants adjust their positions, and the odds update in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, while lower volume can create wider bid-ask gaps and more volatile swings.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result reported by the ITF and major sports news outlets. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate with any breaking news, player updates, or other developments that might influence expectations heading into the event.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place: player injury announcements, recent performance trends, head-to-head records, court surface conditions, and weather forecasts. Betting syndicates or sharp traders placing large positions can also trigger rapid repricing. News coverage, expert analysis, or unexpected withdrawals would likely prompt immediate market reactions. Social media sentiment and casual trader activity may amplify volatility, especially in the final hours before play begins.