TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 8:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabelle Cherny and Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the ITF Women San Gregorio, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabelle Cherny' if Isabelle Cherny advances against Lucciana Perez Alarcon. This market will resolve to 'Lucciana Perez Alarcon' if Lucciana Perez Alarcon advances against Isabelle Cherny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isabelle Cherny and Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the ITF Women San Gregorio, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabelle Cherny' if Isabelle Cherny advances against Lucciana Perez Alarcon. This market will resolve to 'Lucciana Perez Alarcon' if Lucciana Perez Alarcon advances against Isabelle Cherny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, offering an alternative lens on the matchup. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where contrarian opportunities might exist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed, with higher demand pushing probability upward and lower demand pushing it down. This continuous pricing mechanism means odds update in real time as new trades flow in, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official winner recorded by the ITF and major tennis reporting outlets. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on pre-match analysis, player form, and any breaking news affecting the matchup.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data may prompt traders to adjust positions. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and betting line movements at major sportsbooks can also influence sentiment. Social media commentary from tennis analysts and any last-minute lineup changes could accelerate volatility as the match date approaches.