TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Salma Ewing and Alina Shcherbinina in the ITF Women San Diego, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salma Ewing' if Salma Ewing advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Salma Ewing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Salma Ewing and Alina Shcherbinina in the ITF Women San Diego, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salma Ewing' if Salma Ewing advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Salma Ewing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasting. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or if one venue attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants about the likelihood of that result. As new information surfaces—such as player form, injury reports, or head-to-head records—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The continuous price discovery mechanism ensures that this market remains responsive to developments leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event is finalized, allowing positions to settle promptly. Traders should monitor official tournament sources and news coverage as the date approaches to stay informed.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before it resolves. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface preferences can all influence trader positioning. Media coverage highlighting either competitor's form or tactical advantages may trigger repricing. Additionally, betting action from sharp traders or sudden shifts in public sentiment can create volatility. Monitoring player statements, ranking updates, and pre-match analysis will help you anticipate potential market moves.