TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 9:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Amelia Honer in the ITF Women Rome, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Amelia Honer. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Honer' if Amelia Honer advances against Madison Brengle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Amelia Honer in the ITF Women Rome, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Amelia Honer. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Honer' if Amelia Honer advances against Madison Brengle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likely outcome. Such gaps sometimes signal value or highlight information asymmetries between the two venues.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. Each share represents a claim on the match result, and the combined trading activity determines the probability displayed on the dashboard. This decentralized pricing mechanism means the market can respond quickly to breaking news or changing expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—either Brengle or Honer will be confirmed as the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends and the result is publicly confirmed.
Several factors could shift odds before Jul 3, 2026. Injury reports, recent form, head-to-head records, and court conditions at the Rome venue may influence trader sentiment. News about either player's fitness, ranking changes, or performance in lead-up matches can trigger sharp price moves. Weather forecasts and draw announcements may also matter. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments and expert commentary often drive final adjustments to this market's probability.