TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Rivet and Lucas Marionneau in the ITF Men Rognac, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Lucas Marionneau. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Marionneau' if Lucas Marionneau advances against Maxence Rivet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxence Rivet and Lucas Marionneau in the ITF Men Rognac, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxence Rivet' if Maxence Rivet advances against Lucas Marionneau. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Marionneau' if Lucas Marionneau advances against Maxence Rivet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and liquidity levels. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent performance news and betting volume.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on that verified information.
Several signals could shift this market before Jul 30, 2026. Key updates include player injuries, changes to the match schedule, or significant performance gaps in earlier rounds. Weather conditions or venue-specific factors might also influence expectations. As the start date nears, any public statements from coaches or the players themselves could sway trader sentiment, causing rapid adjustments in the odds on Polymarket.