TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bernard and Ilija Palavestra in the ITF Men Rochester, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bernard' if Alexander Bernard advances against Ilija Palavestra. This market will resolve to 'Ilija Palavestra' if Ilija Palavestra advances against Alexander Bernard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bernard and Ilija Palavestra in the ITF Men Rochester, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bernard' if Alexander Bernard advances against Ilija Palavestra. This market will resolve to 'Ilija Palavestra' if Ilija Palavestra advances against Alexander Bernard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, prediction market prices may lead or lag sportsbook odds depending on which venue attracts sharper information first. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and help you identify potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets placed on each outcome, with each trade moving the odds based on the depth of liquidity available. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts continuously, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and sentiment shifts throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the tennis match between the two competitors. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, player form, and any breaking news that might influence expectations.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface suitability are classic catalysts. Weather conditions at the venue, last-minute lineup changes, or news about player fitness could also trigger repricing. Additionally, if either competitor's ranking or seeding status changes, or if related matches produce unexpected results, traders may adjust their positions. Real-time match commentary and live score updates will likely drive the most dramatic moves as the event unfolds.