TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Webster and Kate Fakih in the ITF Women Rancho Santa Fe, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Webster' if Sophia Webster advances against Kate Fakih. This market will resolve to 'Kate Fakih' if Kate Fakih advances against Sophia Webster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Webster and Kate Fakih in the ITF Women Rancho Santa Fe, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Webster' if Sophia Webster advances against Kate Fakih. This market will resolve to 'Kate Fakih' if Kate Fakih advances against Sophia Webster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus without a built-in house edge. This market's odds emerge from supply and demand among participants rather than from a bookmaker's calculations. Comparing the two can reveal where traders see value that traditional oddsmakers may have missed. Both sources offer useful signals, but they operate on distinct mechanisms and may diverge, especially in niche events like professional tennis.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the probability that traders assign to each outcome at any given moment. As more capital flows into one side, the price moves to incentivize balancing trades. This continuous repricing mechanism means the odds you see are always responsive to new information, recent match results, player form, and betting sentiment. The transparency of on-chain trading ensures all participants see the same prices in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the Webster vs Fakih match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result as reported by the ITF and confirmed through established sports reporting channels. No ambiguity exists in tennis match outcomes—the winner is clear once the final point is played. Resolution happens automatically once the event data is confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and player rankings influence trader sentiment. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp price moves. Court surface conditions at Rancho Santa Fe, weather forecasts, and player form leading up to the event all matter. Media coverage and expert commentary can sway perception. Betting activity from informed insiders or sharp traders often precedes major price swings. Monitoring these developments helps you anticipate how this market may evolve before the final outcome is determined.