TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Shcherbinina and Jo-Yee Chan in the ITF Women Rancho Santa Fe, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Jo-Yee Chan. This market will resolve to 'Jo-Yee Chan' if Jo-Yee Chan advances against Alina Shcherbinina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Shcherbinina and Jo-Yee Chan in the ITF Women Rancho Santa Fe, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Jo-Yee Chan. This market will resolve to 'Jo-Yee Chan' if Jo-Yee Chan advances against Alina Shcherbinina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts sharper bettors or if new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders place orders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade against a liquidity pool, and the current price reflects the cumulative trades and positions held by the community. As new information or sentiment shifts, the pool rebalances and prices update in real time, ensuring the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament result, ensuring clarity and finality. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or pre-match analysis influence their views on who will prevail.
Several factors may shift trader sentiment before the match. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and injury or fitness updates about either player can trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions, weather, and draw positioning within the tournament bracket may also influence expectations. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action from professional traders can amplify moves. As the match date approaches, any official announcements or last-minute changes to player status will likely drive significant volume and volatility in this market.