TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 5:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Pavlova and Eva Alvarez Sande in the ITF Women Ourense, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Pavlova' if Kira Pavlova advances against Eva Alvarez Sande. This market will resolve to 'Eva Alvarez Sande' if Eva Alvarez Sande advances against Kira Pavlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Pavlova and Eva Alvarez Sande in the ITF Women Ourense, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Pavlova' if Kira Pavlova advances against Eva Alvarez Sande. This market will resolve to 'Eva Alvarez Sande' if Eva Alvarez Sande advances against Kira Pavlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and the inclusion of betting liquidity. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile prices. Traders on Polymarket set probabilities that reflect crowd wisdom, sometimes aligning closely with sportsbook favorites and sometimes diverging based on recent form or betting trends.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The price fluctuates based on betting volume and shifts in sentiment as the match date nears. This dynamic pricing allows participants to react quickly to new information, such as player injuries or weather conditions, influencing the market’s direction.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders can track the final result through live score updates and official tournament announcements to confirm how this market settles.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including player injuries, changes in form, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and key pre-match practice sessions. Updates from coaches, media interviews, and betting trends on Polymarket may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments closer to the match date often lead to noticeable movements in the odds as participants adjust their positions.