TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matic Dimic and Gabriele Bosio in the ITF Men Nova Gorica, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matic Dimic' if Matic Dimic advances against Gabriele Bosio. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Matic Dimic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matic Dimic and Gabriele Bosio in the ITF Men Nova Gorica, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matic Dimic' if Matic Dimic advances against Gabriele Bosio. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Matic Dimic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. For this market, comparing the current prediction market price against major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than the betting public. These differences can signal value opportunities or highlight where professional and retail sentiment diverge on the match outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate confidence of all traders participating in the order book, updated continuously as new trades execute. Prices move higher or lower based on buy and sell pressure, so shifts in the market price signal changing expectations about the match. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price point, with the platform settling the outcome once the event concludes and is verified.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning position will be determined by the actual result of the match between the two players. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information emerges and sentiment shifts. Resolution is automatic once the event concludes and the result is confirmed through standard sports data sources.
Several factors can shift trader positioning before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the players often drive price movement as new match data surfaces. Injury reports, court conditions, or changes in player ranking can trigger rapid repricing. Tournament momentum—how each player has performed in earlier rounds—typically influences confidence in the outcome. Media coverage and expert commentary may also sway trader sentiment. Watch for any official announcements or updates from the event organizers that could affect expectations going into the match.