TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Bocchi and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the ITF Men Nova Gorica, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Bocchi and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the ITF Men Nova Gorica, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one side attracts more trading volume. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from bookmaker pricing.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell outcome shares. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades placed by the community, with the total probability across all outcomes summing to 100 percent. As more capital flows into one side, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium that balances supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual winner of the match as documented by official tennis records and reputable sports news sources. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, and the market price will fluctuate as new information and analysis emerge.
Several factors could shift trading activity and prices in this market. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players often influence trader sentiment, as do injury reports or withdrawal announcements. Court conditions, surface type, and weather forecasts closer to match day can also sway expectations. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns on other platforms may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Any late-breaking news about either player's fitness or mental readiness could trigger notable price swings.