TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marine Szostak and Mathilde Lollia in the ITF Women Nice, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marine Szostak' if Marine Szostak advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Marine Szostak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in margin, while prediction markets update instantly as new information emerges. For the Szostak vs Lollia match, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. Significant gaps may signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both venues ultimately reflect uncertainty about the match result.
On Polymarket, the Szostak vs Lollia match is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's win probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting market liquidity and uncertainty. As match day approaches and new information surfaces—such as injury reports, recent form, or head-to-head history—traders adjust positions, moving prices up or down. The final price at resolution reflects the collective forecast of all Polymarket participants in this event.
The ITF Nice: Marine Szostak vs Mathilde Lollia market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed by reliable sports data sources. The market will settle once the match concludes and the winner is officially announced. Traders should monitor the ITF schedule and any official updates from the tournament organizers to confirm timing and any potential postponements or changes to the match.
Several factors could shift odds for the Szostak vs Lollia match before Jun 17, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp price moves. Recent tournament results, especially from warm-up events or qualifying rounds, often influence trader positioning. Head-to-head history and surface-specific performance data become more relevant as the match approaches. Weather forecasts for Nice on match day, court conditions, and player fitness updates can all sway market sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis may also prompt traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.