TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Denislava Glushkova in the ITF Women Nice, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Denislava Glushkova. This market will resolve to 'Denislava Glushkova' if Denislava Glushkova advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Denislava Glushkova in the ITF Women Nice, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Denislava Glushkova. This market will resolve to 'Denislava Glushkova' if Denislava Glushkova advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower probabilities than major sportsbooks depending on which venue has attracted more informed traders or deeper liquidity. Comparing both sources can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. Deeper liquidity typically narrows spreads and makes prices more stable, while thin trading can amplify volatility and widen the gap between bid and ask prices.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual match conclusion—whether Ibragimova or Glushkova prevails—as documented by official ITF records or reputable sports news sources. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized based on the verified outcome.
Player form and recent match results are primary catalysts; a streak of wins or losses by either competitor can shift trader expectations significantly. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements would trigger sharp repricing. Head-to-head history and surface-specific performance data may influence positioning as traders refine their models. Closer to the match date, weather conditions, court conditions, and any last-minute lineup changes could spark volatility. Real-time match updates during play will likely drive the most dramatic price swings as the outcome becomes clearer.