TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sun Min Ha and Lourdes Ayala in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sun Min Ha' if Sun Min Ha advances against Lourdes Ayala. This market will resolve to 'Lourdes Ayala' if Lourdes Ayala advances against Sun Min Ha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sun Min Ha and Lourdes Ayala in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sun Min Ha' if Sun Min Ha advances against Lourdes Ayala. This market will resolve to 'Lourdes Ayala' if Lourdes Ayala advances against Sun Min Ha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, revealing where the crowd of prediction market participants sees value. Comparing the two can highlight discrepancies in how professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders assess the match.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective conviction of all active traders at any moment. As new information surfaces—player injuries, recent form, or court conditions—traders adjust their positions, moving prices higher or lower. The market price you see represents the real-time consensus probability among participants willing to stake capital on their beliefs.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result, confirmed through established tennis databases or tournament records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the event is completed and the result is publicly confirmed.
Several factors could shift odds before the match takes place. Player announcements regarding injuries, withdrawal, or fitness updates often trigger sharp price moves. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or surface-specific performance data may influence trader positioning. Court conditions, weather forecasts, or changes to tournament scheduling can also affect sentiment. Media coverage highlighting either player's form or momentum typically prompts traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their holdings accordingly.