TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 8:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Richard Mallory and Valentin Lapalu in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Richard Mallory' if Richard Mallory advances against Valentin Lapalu. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Lapalu' if Valentin Lapalu advances against Richard Mallory. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. For the Mallory vs Lapalu match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing the outcome differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting value opportunities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Mallory vs Lapalu match is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability traders assign to each player winning. Prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with the current price indicating the market's consensus likelihood. As match details, player form, or injury news emerge, Polymarket participants adjust their positions, moving the price to reflect new information about this ITF Monastir encounter.
Several factors could shift market pricing for the Mallory vs Lapalu match. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head history, player injuries, or withdrawal announcements would trigger immediate repricing. Court surface conditions at Monastir, weather forecasts, and pre-match commentary from analysts can also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected player statements or changes in seeding or draw position may cause volatility. Real-time match updates during play will drive final price movements as traders react to on-court performance.