TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Pawlak and Lamiss Houas in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Pawlak' if Lucie Pawlak advances against Lamiss Houas. This market will resolve to 'Lamiss Houas' if Lamiss Houas advances against Lucie Pawlak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Pawlak and Lamiss Houas in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Pawlak' if Lucie Pawlak advances against Lamiss Houas. This market will resolve to 'Lamiss Houas' if Lamiss Houas advances against Lucie Pawlak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have real money at stake, which can sometimes surface insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines may reveal where the two venues disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As new trades flow in, the price adjusts in real time, so the current odds always represent the latest consensus. This continuous repricing mechanism means the market can respond quickly to breaking news, player form updates, or other factors that might shift expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—typically the player who wins the majority of sets according to ITF Monastir tournament records. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and the winner is publicly announced, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information before final settlement.
Several factors could shift the odds significantly before the match takes place. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and player rankings may influence trader sentiment as new data emerges. Injury announcements, changes in player form, or updates on court conditions at the ITF Monastir venue could also trigger repricing. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns from other venues sometimes prompt traders to adjust their positions. Even late-breaking news about player availability or motivation can move this market in the final hours before the match begins.