TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Pawlak and Arina Arifullina in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Pawlak' if Lucie Pawlak advances against Arina Arifullina. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Lucie Pawlak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Pawlak and Arina Arifullina in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Pawlak' if Lucie Pawlak advances against Arina Arifullina. This market will resolve to 'Arina Arifullina' if Arina Arifullina advances against Lucie Pawlak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sports betting sites, offering an alternative view of the match outcome based on crowd forecasting rather than bookmaker models. Comparing the two can reveal where market consensus and professional oddsmakers disagree.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate demand relative to supply, with the combined probability of all outcomes equaling 100 percent. As new information surfaces or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. Higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism, allowing you to see real-time consensus on who is favored to win.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match conclusion from the ITF Monastir tournament. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match is completed and the result is published by authoritative tennis sources.
Several factors may shift odds before the match concludes. Player injury announcements, recent tournament results, or changes in court conditions at Monastir could trigger repricing. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side may also influence the market as traders react to new information. Weather delays, player withdrawals, or unexpected form changes in the days leading up to the event could prompt significant moves. Real-time match developments, once play begins, will drive the most dramatic price swings as traders adjust positions based on live performance.