TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Georgii Kravchenko in the ITF Men Milano, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Georgii Kravchenko in the ITF Men Milano, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbooks depending on which venue receives breaking news first or attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the match.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of all active traders at that moment. As new information emerges—such as player form, injury reports, or court conditions—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments affecting the match.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which player wins and settling all positions accordingly. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders adjust their views based on pre-match developments and any available intelligence about player readiness or conditions.
Several catalysts could shift prices before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Changes in court conditions, weather forecasts, or recent tournament results from either competitor may influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting head-to-head records or recent form could also sway the market. Additionally, any updates on player fitness, coaching changes, or unexpected roster adjustments in the lead-up to the event would likely prompt significant trading activity and price movement.