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ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela
polymarket
kalshi

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela

Volume:
$2,738,290

Kamil Majchrzak

 - Kalshi

Kamil Majchrzak - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 12:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kamil Majchrzak

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,510,641
N/A
N/A
$989,783
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hamad Medjedovic

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,227,067
N/A
N/A
$834,463
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Sorger vs Giuseppe La Vela Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round match between Kamil Majchrzak and Hamad Medjedovic. The aggregated consensus probability shows Kamil Majchrzak wins at 91.0%, with Hamad Medjedovic wins at 10.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolving via official US Open results. The key catalyst to monitor is the match itself, scheduled to conclude by August 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Resolution criteria are consistent across platforms, with each market type (winner, set winner, game totals, etc.) having clear rules for completion, cancellation, and incomplete play, all referencing official ITF or US Open results.Primary resolution logic: Official ITF results for Sorger vs La Vela; official US Open results for Majchrzak vs Medjedovic

Core resolution logic:

  • All markets require the match to have actually started (a ball played) for resolution
  • Official tournament results from ITF or US Open are the primary resolution source
  • Cancellations, walkovers, and retirements trigger specific 50-50 or outcome-determined resolutions per market rules
  • Game and set totals include tiebreaks as single games unless otherwise specified

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not completed: Markets resolve to 50-50 or determined outcome based on completed play, depending on the specific market rules
  • Walkover or retirement: Winner markets resolve to the advancing player, while game/set total and subset markets may resolve to 50-50 or determined outcome
  • Cancellation before play: All markets resolve to 50-50 unless specific rules dictate otherwise
Timing: Resolution occurs when official results are published by ITF or US Open, with a deadline of September 11, 2026 for the Sorger vs La Vela match and upon conclusion of the US Open match for Majchrzak vs MedjedovicOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Sorger and Giuseppe La Vela in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Giuseppe La Vela. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Sebastian Sorger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Hamad Medjedovic in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128, contingent upon the match actually commencing—indicated by a ball being played. If Majchrzak wins the match after it has started, his corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Medjedovic wins under the same conditions, his market resolves to Yes. Should the match fail to occur before play begins—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the markets resolve to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match concludes, with final resolution occurring within two weeks of that conclusion. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.