TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
polymarket

ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Volume:
$997

ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

 - Polymarket

ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Arcila and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez in the ITF Men Martos, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Arcila' if Alejandro Arcila advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Alejandro Arcila. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through price discovery. For the ITF Martos match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and decentralized traders disagree on Arcila and Gonzalez Fernandez's chances. These gaps sometimes highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to consensus.

On Polymarket, the ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares for each outcome trade continuously, and the current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders. As the match date approaches, prices typically tighten and become more volatile in response to breaking news, player form updates, or injury reports. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus on the most likely result.

The ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed through standard sports data sources. The market will settle based on who wins the match according to the final score. Traders should monitor official ITF announcements and match schedules to stay informed of any postponements or changes that could affect the resolution timeline.

Several factors could shift odds for the Arcila vs Gonzalez Fernandez match before Jun 16, 2026. Player injuries, recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and court surface preferences are key catalysts. Weather conditions at the venue, last-minute lineup changes, or unexpected form dips in the days leading up to the match can trigger sharp price movements. Trader sentiment often reacts to social media updates, coaching changes, or news from warm-up tournaments. Monitor ITF rankings and player news feeds for signals that could alter market probabilities.