TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ITF Marburg: Michael Bassem Sobhy vs Saba Purtseladze Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Polymarket
ITF Marburg: Michael Bassem Sobhy vs Saba Purtseladze Total Sets: O/U 2.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 2, 2026
Closed: Jul 8, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Bassem Sobhy and Saba Purtseladze in the ITF Men Marburg, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Bassem Sobhy' if Michael Bassem Sobhy advances against Saba Purtseladze. This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Michael Bassem Sobhy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Bassem Sobhy and Saba Purtseladze in the ITF Men Marburg, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Bassem Sobhy' if Michael Bassem Sobhy advances against Saba Purtseladze. This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Michael Bassem Sobhy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially if one venue has sharper information flow or different liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the actual result of the match, verified against established sports data sources and official tournament records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and match developments influence their confidence in each possible result.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before the match concludes. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and player rankings may influence positioning as traders reassess relative strength. Injury reports, court conditions, or draw announcements could trigger repricing. Tournament momentum and form leading into the event, along with any late-breaking news about either player's fitness or preparation, may also prompt significant trading activity. Real-time match developments—if the event has begun—would drive the most dramatic price swings as traders react to live play.