TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ITF Madrid: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Margaux Maquet Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
ITF Madrid: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Margaux Maquet Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 11, 2026
Closed: Jun 18, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi and Margaux Maquet in the ITF Women Madrid, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi' if Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi advances against Margaux Maquet. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi and Margaux Maquet in the ITF Women Madrid, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi' if Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi advances against Margaux Maquet. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this ITF Madrid match often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders seeking to profit on accuracy. For women's ITF matches, prediction markets may reflect sharper or more specialized player analysis, though sportsbooks sometimes incorporate broader betting volume and professional syndicate input. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges on Larraya Guidi versus Maquet.
On Polymarket, the ITF Madrid: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Margaux Maquet match is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate of all open positions and recent trades. Prices adjust in real time as new information emerges—such as player withdrawals, surface conditions, or head-to-head records. Traders profit by correctly predicting the match result, creating incentives for accurate pricing of both players' chances.
The ITF Madrid: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Margaux Maquet market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 18, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the completed match. The market will settle once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed by the ITF or the tournament organizer. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or if one player withdraws before play begins. Traders should monitor official ITF announcements and tournament schedules for any updates affecting match timing or status.
Several factors could shift market odds for this ITF Madrid match. Player injury announcements or withdrawal news would dramatically reprrice the outcome. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between Larraya Guidi and Maquet may influence trader sentiment as the match approaches. Surface-specific performance data and training reports could reveal form changes. Weather conditions at the Madrid venue and court assignments may favor one player's style. Betting volume spikes or large trades from informed participants can also trigger price movements as new information enters the market.