TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruth Roura Llaverias and Alice Ferlito in the ITF Women Madrid, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruth Roura Llaverias' if Ruth Roura Llaverias advances against Alice Ferlito. This market will resolve to 'Alice Ferlito' if Alice Ferlito advances against Ruth Roura Llaverias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets update continuously as traders buy and sell shares. For the Roura Llaverias vs Ferlito match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences highlight how decentralized markets and traditional betting venues price tennis outcomes differently.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Roura Llaverias vs Ferlito match is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's probability of winning. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. Prices move in real time as new bets flow in, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures continuous liquidity, allowing participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window leading up to Jun 17, 2026.
The market resolves at Jun 17, 2026 following the completion of the ITF Madrid match between Ruth Roura Llaverias and Alice Ferlito. The outcome is determined by the official result of the tennis match. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the prediction market will settle based on that result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match is played and results are officially recorded.
Several factors could shift odds for the Roura Llaverias vs Ferlito match. Recent performance updates, injury reports, or withdrawal announcements involving either player would trigger immediate repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history may influence trader sentiment as the match date approaches. Tournament draw information and seeding changes could also matter. Real-time match developments during play—such as early set outcomes or momentum shifts—will drive final price movements. News coverage and expert commentary may sway crowd perception closer to Jun 17, 2026.