TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuyao Li and Chenting Zhu in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Chenting Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Chenting Zhu' if Chenting Zhu advances against Yuyao Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuyao Li and Chenting Zhu in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Chenting Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Chenting Zhu' if Chenting Zhu advances against Yuyao Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show a different probability than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where contrarian views are gaining traction.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As match details, player form, or other relevant information becomes public, traders adjust their positions, causing the probability to shift in real time. The market price you see is the result of continuous trading activity among all participants.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect who wins the match based on official tournament records and reliable sports news sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution is automatic once the match concludes and the winner is established.
Player injury reports, recent performance trends, and head-to-head history can all shift trader sentiment before the match begins. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and any last-minute lineup changes may also influence odds. News about either player's form or confidence in the lead-up to the event could trigger sharp price moves. Tournament seeding, ranking points at stake, and betting patterns from professional bettors often provide early signals that ripple through this market.