TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenfei Yu and Yuyao Li in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenfei Yu' if Wenfei Yu advances against Yuyao Li. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Wenfei Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenfei Yu and Yuyao Li in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenfei Yu' if Wenfei Yu advances against Yuyao Li. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Wenfei Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus breakdowns on the Yu vs Li matchup.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares shifts the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing toward one outcome, the higher its implied probability climbs. This continuous pricing model means the market reflects live consensus as new information emerges, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning shares will be determined by the official match result, verified against established tennis records and tournament documentation. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell based on their expectations, and the market price will fluctuate as new developments or analysis emerge.
Player form, recent head-to-head records, court conditions, and injury updates are key catalysts that typically shift odds in tennis markets. News about either competitor's fitness, recent tournament results, or playing surface preference can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early-match momentum—if live scoring becomes available before official completion—may prompt traders to adjust positions. Monitor tennis news outlets and the ITF circuit for announcements that could reshape expectations around this matchup.