TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ha Eum Lee and Jiyun Oh in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ha Eum Lee' if Ha Eum Lee advances against Jiyun Oh. This market will resolve to 'Jiyun Oh' if Jiyun Oh advances against Ha Eum Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ha Eum Lee and Jiyun Oh in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ha Eum Lee' if Ha Eum Lee advances against Jiyun Oh. This market will resolve to 'Jiyun Oh' if Jiyun Oh advances against Ha Eum Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the collective intelligence of many independent participants, which can sometimes surface insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value relative to established betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time probability that traders assign to that outcome, with the combined probabilities of all outcomes equaling 100 percent. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest consensus view of the match.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—whether Ha Eum Lee or Jiyun Oh wins the ITF Maanshan event. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, allowing traders to settle their positions. Until that time, the market remains open for trading as new developments and match updates influence pricing.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Recent player form, head-to-head records, and court surface preference are key inputs traders monitor. Injury reports or last-minute withdrawals would trigger sharp repricing. During the match itself, live scoring updates and momentum swings often cause rapid price movement as traders react to each set and game outcome. Pre-match news—such as player statements, weather conditions, or seeding changes—can also influence the odds as the event date approaches.