TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Marie Desvignes and Anna Snigireva in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Marie Desvignes' if Eva Marie Desvignes advances against Anna Snigireva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Snigireva' if Anna Snigireva advances against Eva Marie Desvignes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Marie Desvignes and Anna Snigireva in the ITF Women Maanshan, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Marie Desvignes' if Eva Marie Desvignes advances against Anna Snigireva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Snigireva' if Anna Snigireva advances against Eva Marie Desvignes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information surfaces or if one venue attracts more informed participants. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each possible outcome, and the cumulative value of all shares determines the implied probability displayed on the dashboard. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest consensus among active traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner as recorded by the ITF or confirmed through established tennis reporting channels. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match developments, player news, or shifts in trader conviction. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is finalized.
Several catalysts could shift prices before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent match results, ranking updates, or head-to-head history becoming more widely known could sway trader sentiment. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, or travel delays might also influence expectations. Additionally, any official statement from the ITF or tournament organizers regarding scheduling or player status could prompt significant volume and volatility in this market.