TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 1:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Chen-Yu Lu in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Chen-Yu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Chen-Yu Lu' if Chen-Yu Lu advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Chen-Yu Lu in the ITF M25 Taipei Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Chen-Yu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Chen-Yu Lu' if Chen-Yu Lu advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes of $395. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders on Polymarket price in real-time reactions to news, form, and other in-play factors, potentially offering alternative insights compared to standard sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds for this market by placing bets, which determines the implied probability for each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment and available volume of $395. As new information emerges — such as player injuries, weather updates, or recent match performance — traders adjust their positions, shifting the market price. This decentralized pricing model captures the community's evolving expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the player who wins the ITF M25 Taipei Men’s singles final. After the match, the platform will update the market to reflect the confirmed winner, finalizing all open positions based on the verified score.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including updates on player health or fitness, changes to the tournament schedule, weather conditions affecting play, and recent performance in lead-up matches. Any news indicating a strong or weak form from either player, such as dominant practice sessions or minor injuries, may cause traders on Polymarket to adjust their bets. As the match date approaches, these real-time updates will most strongly influence market movements and volume of $395.