TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 9:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oliwier Sterniczuk and Haiyi Qin in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliwier Sterniczuk' if Oliwier Sterniczuk advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Oliwier Sterniczuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oliwier Sterniczuk and Haiyi Qin in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliwier Sterniczuk' if Oliwier Sterniczuk advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Oliwier Sterniczuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader analytics, Polymarket prices emerge organically from user bets, which can create tighter spreads or sharper divergences. Comparing the two offers a view into crowd-sourced expectations versus institutional forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will lock in based on the officially recorded winner, and all trades settle accordingly at that point.
Several signals could affect this market before Aug 31, 2026. Strong performance in practice sessions, injuries or changes in player form, and weather conditions if the match is outdoors can all shift trader expectations. Media coverage highlighting either competitor’s recent wins or losses may also influence odds. As the match date approaches, any last-minute updates — such as lineup changes or venue conditions — are likely to cause rapid price movements in this market.