TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 9:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dawid Wisniewski and Jakub Hrynkiewicz in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dawid Wisniewski' if Dawid Wisniewski advances against Jakub Hrynkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Hrynkiewicz' if Jakub Hrynkiewicz advances against Dawid Wisniewski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dawid Wisniewski and Jakub Hrynkiewicz in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dawid Wisniewski' if Dawid Wisniewski advances against Jakub Hrynkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Hrynkiewicz' if Jakub Hrynkiewicz advances against Dawid Wisniewski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven dynamics and lower fees on Polymarket. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader analytics and public betting trends, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their insights, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile prices. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value gaps, keeping in mind that prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts rather than fixed operator lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants buy and sell shares of each outcome. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each player. If one competitor gains momentum or there’s new information about injuries or form, traders may shift positions, adjusting the implied chances. This dynamic pricing allows for rapid updates based on real-time sentiment and news.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result from the ITF M25 Poznan tournament, and once that information is widely reported, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly based on the final score.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, changes in form or performance in lead-up matches, weather conditions affecting the tournament, and any disciplinary actions or withdrawals. News from practice sessions, updates from coaches, or even betting trends on Polymarket can influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any new information that changes perceptions of each player’s chances is likely to cause price movements in this market.