TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 1:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Kaczmarek and Szymon Karpinski in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Kaczmarek' if Adam Kaczmarek advances against Szymon Karpinski. This market will resolve to 'Szymon Karpinski' if Szymon Karpinski advances against Adam Kaczmarek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Kaczmarek and Szymon Karpinski in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Kaczmarek' if Adam Kaczmarek advances against Szymon Karpinski. This market will resolve to 'Szymon Karpinski' if Szymon Karpinski advances against Adam Kaczmarek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and unique positioning. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and betting action, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, which can lead to varied implied probabilities and tighter spreads.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants continuously adjust their bids and offers based on analysis, news, and expectations. The current probability reflects the collective judgment of Polymarket users about which player is more likely to win. Price shifts can happen rapidly in response to new information or changes in betting patterns.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close to reflect the actual winner as reported through trusted sports and news sources.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 31, 2026. Key factors include player form, injury updates, changes in tournament conditions, and any last-minute news about participant availability or strategy. As the match date nears, betting patterns may also shift based on expert commentary or crowd sentiment, all of which can cause noticeable price movements on Polymarket.