TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 6:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Kaczmarek and Leonardo Iemmi in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Kaczmarek' if Adam Kaczmarek advances against Leonardo Iemmi. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Iemmi' if Leonardo Iemmi advances against Adam Kaczmarek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Kaczmarek and Leonardo Iemmi in the ITF M25 Poznan Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Kaczmarek' if Adam Kaczmarek advances against Leonardo Iemmi. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Iemmi' if Leonardo Iemmi advances against Adam Kaczmarek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to varied participant dynamics and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors and set fixed odds, this market updates continuously based on trader activity. The resulting prices can show divergence, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Observers frequently note that prediction markets capture niche insights or rapid changes that sportsbooks might not adjust as quickly.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the official match outcome as reported by tennis authorities and reputable sports news outlets, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process for all participants on Polymarket.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes to match conditions such as surface or weather, recent form or performance in lead-up tournaments, and any last-minute updates from coaches or official tournament announcements. As the match nears, betting trends on traditional sportsbooks and media narratives may also influence trader sentiment, causing odds to adjust rapidly on Polymarket ahead of resolution.