TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Pieri and Theodore Dean in the ITF M25 Maribor Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Theodore Dean. This market will resolve to 'Theodore Dean' if Theodore Dean advances against Samuele Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Pieri and Theodore Dean in the ITF M25 Maribor Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Theodore Dean. This market will resolve to 'Theodore Dean' if Theodore Dean advances against Samuele Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders vote with their money, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. For example, if a player gains sudden momentum, this market might adjust faster than sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively price this market by buying and selling shares of each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the ratio of shares sold for each result, adjusted for liquidity and trader demand. If one competitor shows strong form, their share price may rise, driving the implied chance higher. This dynamic process lets participants bet on real-time shifts in expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results.
Injuries, changes in player form, weather conditions, or coaching strategies could all shift this market. Media interviews, betting trends, and pre-match performance metrics often influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments — such as a last-minute lineup change — may cause rapid adjustments in the odds as participants reassess probabilities before the match.