TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Luka Petrovic in the ITF M25 Maribor Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Luka Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Petrovic' if Luka Petrovic advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Piotr Galus and Luka Petrovic in the ITF M25 Maribor Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Piotr Galus' if Piotr Galus advances against Luka Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Petrovic' if Luka Petrovic advances against Piotr Galus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can react more quickly to new information. This can lead to divergent pricing, especially as the match nears — for example, an injury update or weather delay might shift this market more sharply than sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling shares of each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders — if one outcome becomes more favored, its price rises accordingly. This continuous, user-driven process determines the market’s price at any moment, allowing rapid adjustments based on new information or shifting sentiment among participants.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion — a win by one player or another — and will be reflected automatically once the match’s final score is reported through trusted sports news and tournament sources.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, weather delays, recent form or performance updates, and commentary from coaches or analysts. Any news affecting the perceived strength or readiness of either player can cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, moving the odds rapidly. Even practice session reports or tournament conditions may influence market sentiment as the match draws closer.