TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniele Rapagnetta and Manuel Mazza in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Rapagnetta' if Daniele Rapagnetta advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Daniele Rapagnetta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniele Rapagnetta and Manuel Mazza in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Rapagnetta' if Daniele Rapagnetta advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Daniele Rapagnetta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the most recent trading activity and available liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders on Polymarket set prices based on their own assessments of player performance, recent form, and any relevant news impacting the match. This mechanism allows for rapid price adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will settle accordingly based on that final score or declared winner.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 27, 2026. Notable performances in practice sessions, injury updates, or changes in player rankings may influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or surface specifications for the court could also impact perceptions of each player's advantage. As the match date approaches, any last-minute news — such as lineup changes or strategic announcements — may cause rapid price swings.