TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 6:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Blardone and Ayman Rafiq in the ITF M25 Lausanne Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Blardone' if Oscar Blardone advances against Ayman Rafiq. This market will resolve to 'Ayman Rafiq' if Ayman Rafiq advances against Oscar Blardone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Blardone and Ayman Rafiq in the ITF M25 Lausanne Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Blardone' if Oscar Blardone advances against Ayman Rafiq. This market will resolve to 'Ayman Rafiq' if Ayman Rafiq advances against Oscar Blardone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds capture the aggregated view of participants who may have different information or risk appetites compared to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a mix of public betting patterns and expert analysis, this market prices in real time according to how traders assess the probabilities of each outcome. Because of this difference in methodology, you might see varying levels of implied probability between the two, especially as new information emerges or trading volume changes.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official match records and widely accepted sports results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Key updates such as player injuries, recent match performances, or changes in tournament conditions may influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or court surface changes, if applicable, might also impact perceptions of each competitor’s strengths. As the match date approaches, any news from official tournament announcements or social media channels could cause rapid adjustments in pricing. Traders will react to any concrete developments that reshape expectations for who is more likely to win.