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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy
polymarket
kalshi

ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy

Volume:
$130,960

Ben Shelton

 - Kalshi

Ben Shelton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ben Shelton

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,007
N/A
N/A
$13,264
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alexander Zverev

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,928
N/A
N/A
$7,453
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,926
N/A
N/A
$30,477
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Fritz

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,472
N/A
N/A
$8,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,542
N/A
N/A
$5,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Arthur Fils

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,958
N/A
N/A
$3,954
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafael Jodar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,522
N/A
N/A
$1,519
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
$1,393
Settled
No
kalshi

Learner Tien

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Karen Khachanov

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,155
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,102
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Flavio Cobolli

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$739
Settled
No
kalshi

Francisco Cerundolo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
$646
Settled
No
kalshi

Jakub Mensik

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
kalshi

Stefanos Tsitsipas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Paul

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Lennard Struff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Michelsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex de Minaur

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Bublik

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorenzo Musetti

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Nakashima

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This event group pertains to two distinct tennis markets: one on Kalshi regarding US Open 2026 finalists and another on Polymarket concerning an ITF M25 Lausanne Men match between Lorenzo Carboni and Arthur Bellegy. The Kalshi market resolves based on player qualification for the US Open final, while the Polymarket market resolves based on the outcome of the specific match in Lausanne.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental Scope Mismatch - These are entirely separate events with no logical connectionHero tip: These markets operate under completely different frameworks and should not be treated as related. Traders should verify each market's specific resolution conditions independently

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy match at ITF M25 Lausanne Men, with specific rules for cancellations, retirements, and time limits. Primary source is ITF official information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on whether any of 30 listed players qualifies for the final of the 2026 US Open Men Singles tournament. No connection to the Lausanne match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Arthur Bellegy in the ITF M25 Lausanne Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Arthur Bellegy. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bellegy' if Arthur Bellegy advances against Lorenzo Carboni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Rafael Jodar qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Novak Djokovic qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Zverev qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joao Fonseca qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorenzo Musetti qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Fils qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Shelton qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex de Minaur qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Norrie qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefanos Tsitsipas qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karen Khachanov qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hubert Hurkacz qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniil Medvedev qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francisco Cerundolo qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Fritz qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrey Rublev qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jan-Lennard Struff qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Paul qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casper Ruud qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Bublik qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frances Tiafoe qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jakub Mensik qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Flavio Cobolli qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Valentin Vacherot qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Auger-Aliassime qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dino Prizmic qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Learner Tien qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlos Alcaraz qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Michelsen qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Nakashima qualifies for the Final at the 2026 US Open Men Singles tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Lausanne Men singles match market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the contest between the two players. It displays current probabilities, volume of $130,960, and 24-hour volume at $18,070, letting users see consensus views and divergences across venues. Because this market pulls data from various bookmakers, you can monitor shifts in sentiment as the match approaches, giving a clear picture of collective expectations for who might win.