TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Leal and Tiago Pereira in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Leal' if Rodrigo Leal advances against Tiago Pereira. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Rodrigo Leal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Leal and Tiago Pereira in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Leal' if Rodrigo Leal advances against Tiago Pereira. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Rodrigo Leal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and unique betting mechanics. While sportsbooks set their odds based on expert analysis and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile prices. Traders may price in additional variables, such as recent form or weather conditions, which sportsbooks might not fully reflect immediately.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price through their bets, creating a dynamic market where the odds adjust in real time. The current top outcome reflects the percentage chance traders assign to that result, influenced by recent trading volume and any new information about the players’ performance or conditions. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments as the event nears, capturing the latest sentiment from participants.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform updates the market accordingly based on publicly available results.
Key signals such as player injuries, changes in form, or weather updates could shift this market before Aug 19, 2026. Any news from official tournament announcements, practice sessions, or head-to-head statistics may also influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, real-time updates and media coverage are likely to drive volatility, with traders reacting quickly to new information that affects the perceived likelihood of each outcome.