TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Samuel Filin and Karl Poling in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Samuel Filin' if Nikita Samuel Filin advances against Karl Poling. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Nikita Samuel Filin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Samuel Filin and Karl Poling in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Samuel Filin' if Nikita Samuel Filin advances against Karl Poling. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Nikita Samuel Filin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and liquidity depth. On Polymarket, the current implied probability reflects real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook odds, which are set by professional oddsmakers considering broader factors like public betting trends. The gap between the two can be especially pronounced in niche events like this one, where prediction market participants may have more specialized insights or access to real-time data. Traders should monitor both sources to identify potential value shifts.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting who claims victory in the ITF M25 East Lansing men's singles. As the event date nears, any updates to player status or match conditions will be reflected in final verification, ensuring the market settles accurately against confirmed public records.
Key signals that could shift odds include player injuries, changes to match scheduling, or significant performance updates from recent practice sessions. Weather conditions, surface conditions, or any last-minute tournament rule changes may also impact trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, updated betting trends on traditional sportsbooks and analyst commentary could further influence market dynamics, especially if new information emerges about either competitor's readiness or form.