TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 11:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Thomson and Thomas Nelson in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Thomson' if Matthew Thomson advances against Thomas Nelson. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Nelson' if Thomas Nelson advances against Matthew Thomson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Thomson and Thomas Nelson in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Thomson' if Matthew Thomson advances against Thomas Nelson. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Nelson' if Thomas Nelson advances against Matthew Thomson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends or house edges, this market relies purely on community-driven pricing. Traders can often see sharper or more volatile shifts here, especially as new information emerges from practice sessions or player updates. The difference provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting odds, allowing participants to assess market sentiment in a decentralized manner.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the tournament result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by the official match result from the ITF M25 East Lansing men's singles event. As long as the match concludes and the winner is officially announced, the market will settle automatically based on that verified data, reflecting the true competitor who claims the title.
Injuries, withdrawals, or significant performance shifts in lead-up tournaments can strongly influence this market. Media interviews, betting trends, and analyst predictions may also shift trader sentiment. Any last-minute changes to the lineup or court conditions could cause rapid adjustments. As the event approaches, real-time updates from the venue and social media reactions will likely drive volatility, so monitoring news feeds and practice reports is key to anticipating movement.