TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 9:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Fajta and Jan Chlodnicki in the ITF M15 Warsaw Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Jan Chlodnicki. This market will resolve to 'Jan Chlodnicki' if Jan Chlodnicki advances against Peter Fajta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Fajta and Jan Chlodnicki in the ITF M15 Warsaw Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Jan Chlodnicki. This market will resolve to 'Jan Chlodnicki' if Jan Chlodnicki advances against Peter Fajta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds incorporate bookmaker margins and may differ from the implied chance here. Traders in this market price outcomes based on their own analysis and available data, often reacting faster to new information. The gap between these two types of odds can highlight where market participants diverge from institutional lines.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes in form or performance leading up to the match, weather conditions on the day of the event, and any last-minute strategic adjustments by coaches or players that become public. Media coverage and pre-match analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds before resolution.