TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kabeer Kapasi and Nick Ihlenfeld in the ITF M15 Vienna Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kabeer Kapasi' if Kabeer Kapasi advances against Nick Ihlenfeld. This market will resolve to 'Nick Ihlenfeld' if Nick Ihlenfeld advances against Kabeer Kapasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kabeer Kapasi and Nick Ihlenfeld in the ITF M15 Vienna Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kabeer Kapasi' if Kabeer Kapasi advances against Nick Ihlenfeld. This market will resolve to 'Nick Ihlenfeld' if Nick Ihlenfeld advances against Kabeer Kapasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds capture crowd-sourced expectations and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information sets. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader models and historical data, this market prices in real-time trader assessments, often reacting quickly to new insights or shifts in player form.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through their bets, which determine the current implied probability. The price adjusts continuously based on new trading activity, reflecting the aggregated expectations of participants about who will win the match. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid updates as information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined conditions to finalize the settlement.
In the run-up to Aug 30, 2026, several factors could influence this market. Key signals include player injuries, recent match performances, changes in tournament conditions, and any last-minute updates to participant availability. As the event approaches, trader sentiment may shift based on practice sessions, weather forecasts, or shifts in betting patterns, all of which can cause fluctuations in the odds.