TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Bien and Juan Ignacio Gallego in the ITF M15 Vienna Men, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Bien' if Daniel Bien advances against Juan Ignacio Gallego. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Gallego' if Juan Ignacio Gallego advances against Daniel Bien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Bien and Juan Ignacio Gallego in the ITF M15 Vienna Men, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Bien' if Daniel Bien advances against Juan Ignacio Gallego. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Gallego' if Juan Ignacio Gallego advances against Daniel Bien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction where traders buy and sell shares representing possible outcomes. The current top chance reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, updating instantly with each new trade. Liquidity and volume influence how efficiently prices adjust, and market makers may step in to provide depth. Traders can observe the latest odds and position sizes, which are determined purely by the interactions of buyers and sellers on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on authoritative sources. Traders should ensure they understand the timing, as the market will close and settle shortly after the match ends, reflecting the definitive result from trusted public records.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including player injuries, changes in form or performance leading up to the match, weather conditions affecting play, and any last-minute tournament updates. Media coverage and expert analysis may also influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any news regarding the players' readiness or recent matches can cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring pre-event reports and live updates will be key to anticipating market movements on Polymarket.