TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 5:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Molder and Arvid Nordquist in the ITF M15 Turku Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Molder' if Markus Molder advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Markus Molder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Molder and Arvid Nordquist in the ITF M15 Turku Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Molder' if Markus Molder advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Markus Molder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information access. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends, this market prices in real-time trader assessments of each player's chances. The resulting probability can appear more volatile or nuanced, especially as new data emerges closer to Aug 20, 2026. Traders should consider both sources but recognize that this market specifically captures the crowd-sourced outlook of Polymarket users.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that final score, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution for all participants.