TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dragos Nicolae Madaras and Jose Murariu in the ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dragos Nicolae Madaras' if Dragos Nicolae Madaras advances against Jose Murariu. This market will resolve to 'Jose Murariu' if Jose Murariu advances against Dragos Nicolae Madaras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dragos Nicolae Madaras and Jose Murariu in the ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dragos Nicolae Madaras' if Dragos Nicolae Madaras advances against Jose Murariu. This market will resolve to 'Jose Murariu' if Jose Murariu advances against Dragos Nicolae Madaras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the ratio of available contracts for each result, influenced by recent trading volume and any new information about the players’ form or conditions. This dynamic process allows odds to adjust rapidly as the match date nears.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official match conclusion, ensuring alignment with real-world proceedings. Traders can expect a swift update once the match is completed and the winner is officially declared.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before resolution, including player injuries, changes in tournament conditions, or recent form in lead-up matches. Media coverage, betting trends on Polymarket, and analyst updates may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information affecting either competitor’s chances is likely to trigger rapid adjustments in market odds as the event approaches.